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Prof. Gatsi writes : The economy of Ghana was downgraded due to overall risk and lost of confidence

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We have always encouraged the academia to contribute knowledge to the industry in order to grow our economy. To bridge this gap, one of Ghana's passionate contributors to the socioeconomic development is Professor John Gatsi. He has trained many prominent finance and accounting professionals in the country. He continues to impact the nation positively with his knowledge and we must celebrate him. He is widely known for his books on Oil and Gas finance and management, quantitative methods, investment management amongst many other fields.

Professor John Gatsi publicized an insight on Ghana’s economy and I believe this is a delight to read. According to the finance expert, Ghana's economy was downgraded due to overall risk and lost of confidence 

On his Facebook page, the professor explained that Ghana’s sovereign credit rating has been downgraded to B- with negative outlook. Prof John Gatsi speaking to Israel Laryea on Joynews explained that it is a signal to investors that the credit worthiness of the country is uncertain and appearance on the capital market will attract high cost to cater for the high risk of lending to Ghana.

Prof. Gatsi also revealed this is due to overall risk of the economy. He explained that confidence in the Ghanaian economy has deteriorated and called on the authorities to prioritize both expenditure and borrowing to ensure only productive expenditure is allowed to extricate the economy from inordinate expenditure.Prof. Gatsi pointed out that Ghana is paying punitively for joking with debt management during pre- pandemic period and using COVID-19 as excuse to borrow outside the limit of fiscal indicators.

Source: Professor John Gatsi's Facebook page

Prof. Gatsi also argued that the international reserve position is fragile as critical components of the reserve such as the heritage and stabilization funds for example are not available for use per the petroleum revenue management rules. That in a debt distress era , the country can’t depend on what is not available because all have been exhausted.

Prof. Gatsi also told Israel Laryea that the downgrade does not stop Ghana from attempting to borrow from the capital market, except that the cost of borrowing will be harmful to sound debt management principles and undermine real growth of the economy. The interest payment engagement is also worse even on the domestic front as both Bank of Ghana’s policy rate and lending rates are mimicking recent inflation trends. He also said the situation is precarious because the risk of the economy is not limited to debt distress alone but also an observable weak policy response to the issues since the middle of 2021.

Prof. Gatsi mentioned that expectation is very important in economic management, the choice of policies to address fundamental problems and once the expectation about fiscal consolidation is negative, the country automatically becomes unattractive unless the country is willing to pay risk premium to investors. He further advised the managers of the country’s economy to quickly prioritize measures to help restore the needed confidence.

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