Some bookmakers have Luxembourg at odds of 26.00 to win this one and even though there is a gulf in quality between the nations it is still interesting to see that most of their encounters have been very close.
Indeed Portugal have played Luxembourg away from home 3 times in the last decade and have not managed to score 3 or more goals in any of those games. Luxembourg can set up well to defend and be stubborn but we believe we will see a more aggressive and determined game from Portugal following their disappointment with Serbia at the weekend.
Five times from the six games Portugal have been able to be winning at half time and we think this could be a decent choice here as we expect Portugal to start quick. We will also back Bruno Fernandes to score anytime as he looks like a decent price compared to the very odds on Cristiano Ronaldo.
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