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Jinapor's 'Dumsor' Prediction Is Not Correct – PPTC

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In contrast to assertions made by National Democratic Congress (NDC) Member of Parliament for Yapei Kusawgu, John Jinapor, the Power Planning Technical Committee (PPTC) has indicated that the country is not returning to the days of unpredictable power supply (Dumsor).

The PPTC said this in a statement signed by its Chairman, Ing. Frank Otchere, on Friday, May 13th, 2022, in response to an earlier claim by Hon. Jinapor on May 9th, 2022, on a number of issues relating to the power sector.

'The existing generation capacity will not be adequate to fulfill the expected demand with 18 percent reserve margins for any of the planning years,' according to Mr Jinapor. According to the PPTC, the country's total installed generation capacity was 5,265.1MW in 2022, with dependable capacity at 4,706.

The committee ruled that, with a projected annual peak demand of 4,793MW in 2026, it is apparent that both installed and dependable capacity exceed peak demand, and so there cannot be an imminent 'dumsor' as was portrayed.

The committee goes on to say that 'dumsor' arises only when actual demand exceeds what the system can generate, and that the increased demand proposed in its report is only needed to provide reserve capacity.

The committee further explains that the additional generation capacity recommended between 2023 and 2027 (a total of 822 MW) is just a sensitivity analysis on capacity requirements if the Bui Hydro Plant can only run two (2) units instead of three (3) during peak periods.

"This is an uncommon case, and it was only examined as a sensitivity scenario in the unusual event that one arises," the statement added.

On Mr Jinapor's allegation that the report refutes the idea that Ghana has excess gas, resulting in capacity payments, the statement responds by claiming that the ESP 2022's recommendation for agreements to expand gas supply did not imply the procurement of additional gas infrastructure.

Rather, the statement stated that it was just raising awareness that demand is increasing and that plans must be made to boost gas supply volumes from current gas facilities.

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Frank Otchere Jinapor John Jinapor NDC National Democratic Congress


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