The NPP National Executive elections came off in a colorful ceremony last weekend. After a long day, the elections came to an end with some surprising results. The biggest winner on the night was Justin Frimpong Koduah who beat John Boadu to emerge as the General Secretary elect. Stephen Ntim after 4 failed attempts at being Chairman won on his fifth attempt. Henry Nana Boakye beat his closest rival, Titus Glover to become the National Organizer.
On PM Express Evans Mensah, head of the Political Desk of Joy News analyzed the chances of the NPP in the next elections. He used the preamble of new executive to determine if the ruling NPP can still hold on to power after 2024. Evans first started the conversation by saying that with the current economic situation, the NPP might lose the next election.
He questioned if the new breed of executives can turn the tide. According to Evans, Justin Koduah will be like the Chief Executive Officer of the NPP. He explained that Justin might have little experience to handle a big party like the NPP but was quick to add that this was how John Boadu also started and later got along. Evans added that Justin may also have age on his side as compared to the aging Asiedu Nketia of the NDC.
Interestingly, Justin also comes from the Ashanti Region and will get a lot of support from them. However, this will be determined if Bawumia or Alan leads the party. It was obvious that Bawumia supported John Boadu and with him gone many anticipate that Alan might win Justin over to his side.
Interestingly, all is not well in the Ashanti Region with the NPP losing votes there. It is on record that whenever the NPP fall below 75% of votes in the region they lose the elections. The NDC in past elections are gaining momentum and according to Evans this is dangerous especially at a time when some constituents in a stronghold are pelting their MP with sachet water.
Evans notes that this is dangerous and if not checked will end in a loss for the party, something even the new executives cannot prevent. Fascinatingly, no political party has won elections after taking the country to the IMF in their second term. The NDC lost in 2000 after sending the country to the IMF in their second term. Kufuor lost in 2008 after sending the country to the IMF in his second term. The NDC won after sending the country to IMF in their first term in 2009. When John Mahama tried in his second term in 2015 he lost.
Currently, Akufo-Addo is in his second term and has sent Ghana to the IMF. Koduah has age on his side, Ntim will have experience with him, but looking at the IMF history, current economic conditions and downtrend of NPP votes in the Ashanti Region, Evans concludes that it will be a tough task to achieve, something that might seem unlikely.
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